Gatherings Of 50 Or More People Are Now Banned In The DRC Capital City: Kinshasa — Perhaps An Over-Reaction, To Ebola, ~1,000 Miles Away?

No doubt, as to North and South Kivu, and Ituri — obviously — this mass gathering ban makes solid public health sense, since there are certainly now over 300 “missing” cases of Ebola positives, roaming the countryside in the far Eastern regions.

I am not so sure about Bas Uele, and certainly more than a bit skeptical… about the capital city of Kinshasa — on the opposite end of the nation (~1,000 miles from Ituri). See my remarks after the pull quote, for context.

In any event — here is the latest, from Reuters reporting:

…The order, issued on June 27 by the interior minister, covers Kinshasa, Tshopo, Haut-Uele and Bas-Uele provinces, none of which has recorded cases so far.

It ⁠cited proximity to affected provinces as a key transmission risk, and required authorities in the four provinces to monitor anyone presenting symptoms and submit daily surveillance reports.

The outbreak, declared on May 15, has infected 1,274 people and killed 360 across three eastern provinces, Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu, according to government data released on Monday….

There is — to be fair — some concern that this is political, as the current Administration there seeks a Constitutional amendment, to allow its president a THIRD consecutive elected term. [Gee, who does that remind us of?!]

And stopping rallies in the capital city of Kinshasa (with ~18 million voting souls) would mightily aid that effort, in entrenchment of power. Hmmmm… and there have been no cases, this time around, in Kinshasa. Hmmm, indeed. Onward.

नमस्ते

“Racist Haters… Gonna’ Hate” — Scott Johnson & Miranda Devine Edition. Yawn.

Today, Johnson beclowns himself anew, by quoting Miranda Devine (at length) in the New York Post.

The endless obsession with Mr. Obama‘s origin, race and citizenship resurfaces, from both of them as about the one-billionth testimony to both their jealousy and mindless hatred.

I suppose the one upside of this is to get both of them on record — now, decrying what will no doubt be the best Presidential library and inspirational museum — in over a century. And this, long before the Tangerine 2.0 “tribute to fat orange crayons” (and Sharpies) appears — some years hence.

Every word the two of them uttered about a President intentionally dividing the nation will certainly be self-evident at whatever monument to hisself Trump finally puts up. But if he’s asked to pay for it, he probably will never have a library. And it could well be by the time 2028 rolls around, none of his moron followers will want to pay — either.

As ever, we shall see.

The only thing that is certain at this juncture is that Scott Johnson is a racist. And so is Miranda Devine.

Out.

Fourth Circuit Sets July 9 As Due Date, For Tangerine 2.0 — To Oppose Mr. Abrego Garcia’s Motion To End Trump’s Appeal Of His Complete Loss…

The tight time frame imposed by the federal appeals court is a fair indicator that the panel agrees — this appeal should likely never have been docketed, by a disingenuous AUSA — for Trump.

Again, Abrego will win out, here:

…The motion to suspend briefing is granted. . . .

[Separately,] RESPONSE TO MOTION TO DISMISS APPEAL DUE: 07/09/2026

Response is required to the motion to dismiss appeal in part on or before the due date above….

Onward, resolutely.

नमस्ते

The Only Bright Spots, From The Last Seven Days, At A Now Very Political Supreme Court…

First, E. Jean Carroll’s $5 million is safe. Trump owes it, personally. Even so, he will doubtlessly soon seek cert., from the Supremes, on the other $83 million he owes here — but that too will fail. It is encouraging that from this correct decision, there were no dissents. Pay up, dotard — you are a serial sexual predator. That is simply a fact, beyond contestation now. The Supremes were your last avenue. Period.

It is encouraging also, that “geo-fence” warrants are now clearly “searches” under the Fourth Amendment. Many states’ highest courts had so held, but now the Supremes make that federal precedent, as well. This means all such warrant requests must be evaluated as to reasonablness, given the individual circumstances, under the Fourth Amendment’s long-standing jurispridence.

Without any serious doubt, the Supremes held off on announcing these two rulings (that would enrage Tangerine 2.0) — until they could hand down the cases expanding his powers, and overruling Humphrey’s Executor — departing from a long line of cases that hold Congress must act, if an independent agency head is to be fired by the executive branch, for political reasons.

This is nonsense, of course. Alito and Thomas have literally created / made law, from whole cloth, here — despite the late Justice Scalia’s insistence that truly conservative Justices would do no such thing.

One final silver lining was that the Supremes held the Fed still remains a “truly untouchable” agency. Lisa Cook wins. But this only serves to underscore the sophistry deeply embedded in the other firings holdings from Alito and Thomas.

All I can say to the MAGA/Tangerine folks is… be careful what you wish for. When a Democratic President takes office — all of your BS will be wiped clean, from the face of the Earth — a new clean slate. Bank on it. Your wins here are entirely pyrrhic. Damn. Out.

नमस्ते

Now Exactly 60 Years After Gemini Astronaut Ed White “Took A [First] Space Walk”, We Will Conduct Our 280th ISS EVA, Tomorrow…

The image at right appeared in countless pop art installations (including my brother’s) from 1966 through the late 1970s. It is truly iconic, of the early US “Space Age”.

And now, counting space walks at ISS alone (not counting Space Shuttle or Apollo or later Gemini walks), we will see this as the two hundred and eightieth extra vehicular activity, or space walk — if you like. Very cool — here’s tomorrow’s expected web-cast schedule, and some more narrative background info, on the walk:

…NASA astronauts Chris Williams and Jessica Meir will exit the station’s Quest airlock to replace a wrist joint that malfunctioned during normal Canadarm2 operations on May 27 after the arm drew elevated motor current and did not move as expected.

Watch NASA’s live U.S. spacewalk 95 coverage beginning at 7 a.m. EDT on NASA+, Amazon Prime, Netflix, and the agency’s YouTube channel. The spacewalk is expected to last roughly six-and-a-half hours.

NASA worked alongside CSA to understand the issue and determined a spacewalk was required to replace the joint using a spare already aboard the space station. Repairs to robotics, like Canadarm2, are normal and expected after more than 25 years of continuous operations, as the system was designed with replaceable components and planned maintenance in mind.

This spacewalk will be the second for Williams and the fifth for Meir. Williams will serve as spacewalk crew member 1 and will wear a suit with red stripes. Meir will serve as crew member 2 and will wear an unmarked suit. It will be the 280th spacewalk in support of space station assembly, maintenance, and upgrades….

Excellent, as essentially all of us in Middle to Southern America will see (Super El Niño induced) scorching temps over the next three days, but for our part, we will remain hydrated — even with another US Men’s Soccer match / Jumbotron evening picnic, in the park, for Wed. night @ 7 pm, locally.

Meanwhile, climate change ALSO means various wild-fires are burning very near my various Rocky Mountain family homes. Dammit — but onward, just the same.

नमस्ते

Was Tangerine 2.0 Treated As Though He “Wasn’t Capable Of Paying For” The New Lilly Weight Loss Drug, In April 2026?

At a minimum, if the “79 year old patient” is/was who we all suspect s/he is… it would suggest he is not being honest with the American people — about how serious his related (and unrelated) health challenges are.

This is not something an otherwise very healthy (to say nothing of well-heeled) person would do — they would have their specialist MD enroll them in one of a dozen studies underway, to get access to these experimental meds.

In any event, we saved this tidbit for a Sunday — as it is not really Earth-shattering news: the rich and powerful in the US regularly get very special health care treatment. But in this case, the American people are entitled to know if the guy at 1600 Penn is far more frail than he is letting on. [Where are his actual physical results — from an unaffiliated MD — not his stupid press-bites… and, while we are at it… his… tax returns?!]

Here is the story from STAT+ that spread like wildfire last week — prompting Congressional inquiries:

…Millions of Americans with obesity are eagerly awaiting a powerful new drug from Eli Lilly called retatrutide, which has demonstrated bariatric-surgery levels of weight loss. Some aren’t even waiting for approval from the Food and Drug Administration, instead racing to acquire it through sketchy means.

But STAT has learned that Eli Lilly and the FDA have allowed one person to gain access to the drug through the FDA’s “compassionate use” program, a pathway that gives patients with serious and immediately life-threatening medical issues access to experimental treatments….

Ultimately, for the overall US health care narrative arc, this one case is perhaps trivial — but if the most powerful can access pathways that were supposedly reserved for the most dire, and needy cases… once again, we are compelled to point out that the US health care delivery system is… fundamentally flawed. Onward.

नमस्ते

Current Options Skews Suggest A 40% Chance SpaceX Will Be Trading Below $130, In September 2026… Grin.

The odd-ball conglomerate flyer (almost exclusively on Muskian exuberance) posted a meteoric rise, immediately post-IPO pricing — ripping north from $135 — to just under $220.

But then… a cold harsh reality set in — and it fell back to Earth… now trading between $148 and $153 a share.

I think the options skews are pretty accurate here. It was very fully priced at its IPO — all the rest was just stupid FOMO buying, mostly by retail. Then the larger holders began selling at the over-inflated price — locking in huge gains, while still holding a fraction of their original allotments. It is the oldest hot IPO game on the planet — reserved for funds managing north of $2 billion. And it has played out according to Hoyle, yet again.

So — as the price more and more is dragged toward a “mean” / reality… the options skews look for a ~$130 price by September. I agree.

Here’s one of the auto-bot rags, on standardized options trading activity over the past week:

…[L]et’s consider what the options market is showing. This is where investors buy contracts that allow them to bet on whether a particular stock will rise or fall during a given time frame. A call option, considered bullish, offers the holder the right to buy a certain stock at a set price, while a put option, considered bearish, offers the holder the right to sell at a set price.

Options activity shows a 40% probability of SpaceX stock falling below $130 by the middle of September, Reuters reported this week, citing Susquehanna Financial Group strategist Christopher Jacobson. If this happens, IPO investors may see a loss of at least 3.7%.

Though options still are leaning in a bullish direction, the 40% I mentioned above is high enough to suggest investors might want to proceed with caution….

We just find it all… hilarious. Musk always over-promises, and under delivers. So too (again), here.

Onward.

नमस्ते

Community Ebola Transmission Rates Continue To Rise In Ituri — As At Least 300 People Carrying The Virus Are “Missing” From Health Centers…

And that, in turn, portends a very alarming fall — for the sick, and dying — primarily in and around Ituri Province, DRC. Models developed by the African CDC predict the deaths will be over 1,400 by September — and the sickness levels will approach 8,500 cases. [The “unconfirmed” totals will be much higher — as entire areas will not have been adequately triaged, for the spread of the disease.]

Without USAID on the ground — it is simply not possible to turn health facilities into enforced stay / prisons — and traditional healers are still telling the afflicted that they may go home — and that they might cure it — with prayers, alone. That is effectively gasoline, on an already raging bonfire. Here’s the latest from the UK Guardian, reporting overnight:

…The whereabouts of almost 300 people who have tested positive for Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo is unknown, according to Africa’s top public health official.

The humanitarian crisis amid the conflict in the affected areas means more than 1 million people are living in camps to which health workers have no access, Dr Jean Kaseya, director general of the Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said on Thursday.

His comments came as projections from the World Health Organization’s Africa regional office, published in the Lancet Infectious Diseases journal, predicted there will be about 8,210 cases and 1,420 deaths by mid-September….

The 300 may also be largely migrants — miners or sex workers that follow them — and thus may spread widely in DRC and into Uganda now. That is very very chilling — as potentials for epidemics go. Yikes. And still no approved vaccine for this Bundibugyo strain. Out.

नमस्ते

Condor Predicts: The Issues On Appeal, In The Fourth Circuit, As To Abrego Garcia… Will Be Reduced To… One. And He Will Win Out.

Tangerine 2.0 earlier appealed, claiming that USDC Judge Xinis wasn’t ruling fast enough, after those chuckleheads had delayed for almost a year, in filing their motions. And after they had lost, essentially everything — in Tennessee. Yawn.

So today, Abrego Garcia’s fine counsel has moved the Fourth Circuit to suspend briefing deadlines, and rule on the only even colorably live issue up on appeal: whether Judge Xinis’ injunction was entered in error. It was not, and Abrego will win. Here’s his motion to suspend briefing, tonight.

Here’s some of the muscular argument, proper — from his team:

…When Abrego Garcia reported to the Baltimore ICE field office as directed on August 25, 2025, ICE immediately detained him. Add.28. He filed a habeas petition that same day. ECF 1. That afternoon, the district court issued an oral order enjoining the Government from removing Abrego Garcia from the United States, Add.1, and it made specific findings as to why the injunction was warranted, Add.6:2–9:16.3 Two days later, on August 27, the court entered a written order continuing that injunction. Add.20. On September 26, the court entered another order continuing the injunction. Add.21. The Government had 60 days to appeal the injunction and each continuation under 28 U.S.C. § 1292(a)(1). Fed. R. App. P. 4(a)(1)(B). It chose to appeal none of them….

Meanwhile, the Government “serially ‘notified’ Abrego Garcia — while he sat in ICE custody — of his expulsion to Uganda, then Eswatini, then Ghana; but none of these countries were ever viable options, and at least two had not even been asked to take Abrego Garcia before [the Government] claimed supposed removal to each.” Add.49 (citing ECF 52). It finally settled on Liberia on October 24. ECF 56.

On November 7, [2025] the Government filed a motion to dissolve the injunction so that it could remove Abrego Garcia to Liberia….

[Then,] the Government “affirmatively misled” the district court that “Liberia is the only viable removal option” for Abrego Garcia and that “Costa Rica ‘does not wish to receive him’” and “will no longer ‘accept the transfer’ of him.” Add.50 (citations omitted).

After the Government’s misrepresentations became public, Costa Rica publicly reaffirmed “that its offer to grant Abrego Garcia residence and refugee status is, and always has been, firm, unwavering, and unconditional.” Add.35 (citing ECF 108); Add.50. On December 11, the district court granted Abrego Garcia’s habeas petition for immediate release from ICE custody [because Tangerine 2.0] had no lawful basis to detain or remove Abrego Garcia….

Every bit of it is flawless — do go read it all — but we’ve recited it here many times: this is a lying government, under Tangerine 2.0. It cannot be taken at its word. And thus, the Fourth Circuit will “cut square corners” with it, and dump Trump’s vindictive, idiotic and prevaricating appeal. You can bank on it.

[Smile — and if you scan the local papers, this evening you may see me (in the second pic in the story) sitting dead center — with my brother in law, and my nephew in law… watching World Cup in the park last night.] Hilarious.

नमस्ते

Hey Hinderaker: Treat Trump After 2020, Like Bolton… RIGHT?!

The irony flies literally off the screen / page here.

Hinderaker is busy pontificating about all the bad things that John Bolton did. It doesn’t really matter to me how it came to light, I always thought he was a tool. But I do know that Trump 2.0 targeted him mostly because he had criticized Trump 1.0.

Well, Trump got his revenge today, when Bolton pleaded guilty… And now faces up to five years in jail. [At age 77, that five years — if imposed might well be a natural life sentence. Damnation.]

The primary reason for my post though, is John Hinderaker seems blissfully unaware that his exact same logic and commentary should apply to Donald Trump — shortly after the 2020 transfer of power:

…More importantly, this [TRUMP/Bolton] case illustrates the hazard of casual handling of secret information by Washington insiders that we have seen over and over.

Among other things, the use of personal email accounts to transmit classified information, or simply information that officials want to be immune from FOIA requests, has been widespread and is dangerous.

Let’s hope that TRUMP / Bolton’s example causes officials to act more carefully in the future.…

The level of deflection / projection here is astonishing: Hinderaker indicates that hiding things to avoid FOIA requests is both reprehensible — and felonious.

Ahem, John… there are photos of Donald Trump‘s public washroom (behind the ballroom), and the shuttered stage area of that ballroom — literally stacked willy-nilly with boxes of classified documents that he stole from Washington, as he departed in 2021.

So I don’t wanna’ hear a peep out of John when felony indictments are handed up against Trump 2.0 this time around because you know he will do the same thing, again.

There is evidence that Donnie was selling access to those boxes in the sh!tter. Damn.

Onward.