Well — Have ANY Of These Feckless Billionaires Graduated… Middle School?! Seems… NOT.

You literally can’t make stupid stuff like this up — unless, of course, one posits a nation where feckless multi-billionaires… can’t figure out how to keep it zipped up.

Then this, and the prior one about Jeff Bezos… are entirely… predictable.

Check at left — I think the answer to the posited law school exam is… a one word essay.

“Yes.” That disparages Twitter — and its executives. Game over.

But I do have to laugh, as my “confirmation bias” kicks in and says Musk really does want a reason to walk away.

But his latest under-oath SEC filing says he’s “fully committed” to the deal. The enforcement staff are likely to ask why he’s calling BS on his own sworn statements, today (without a correcting Schedule 14 disclosure, no less). What an idiot.

OTOH, the SEC may already be broadly hinting (to his regular lawyers, on the at least three existing investigations) that he can have no formal or informal role at Twitter, if he goes forward, given his prior pattern SEC violations.

We shall see.

H I L A R I O U S.

Twitter will be just fine… without him, as I’ve repeatedly said.

Bezos… Can’t Help But Be… A Buffoon. Hurting Amazon’s Chances Here, Before The NLRB.

This, on a day when Elon Musk — his fellow thin-skinned billionaire moron was tweeting poop emojis (no, that is not a bad SNL skit… but it may soon be!) at the executives of the company he had promised not to disparage.

But that is a story for later tonight, or tomorrow — as I get time. The main event, then:

Well — the war of words… continues.

And Jeff Bezos is plainly… losing. And costing his shareholders vast sums in the process. They ought to sue him, for reckless behavior. The company is not his toy. It is a ’34 Act public company, and it owes fiduciary duties to all its independent public holders, not just Daddy Warbucks Bezos. Here’s the story (from Yahoo! wires):

…”It doesn’t require a huge leap to figure out why one of the wealthiest individuals on Earth opposes an economic agenda for the middle class that cuts some of the biggest costs families face, fights inflation for the long haul, and adds to the historic deficit reduction the President is achieving by asking the richest taxpayers and corporations to pay their fair share,” Andrew Bates, a White House spokesperson, said in a statement to The Washington Post’s Jeff Stein….

“It’s also unsurprising that this tweet comes after the President met with labor organizers, including Amazon employees….”

Mr. Biden has been focused on repackaging his agenda to combat inflation as well as touting his labor credentials. He hosted union organizers from Amazon and Starbucks earlier this month, including Christian Smalls, the founder of Amazon Labor Union.

Workers at Staten Island’s JFK8 warehouse voted to unionize with the ALU in April — a first for Amazon, which the National Labor Relations Board accused of “threatening, surveilling, and interrogating” the unionizing workers.

Smalls has quickly become a prominent face of the revitalized labor movement, with politicians like Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rallying alongside him. Sanders had Smalls testify in front of the Senate Budget Committee.

“People are the ones who make these companies operate, and if we are not protected, and if the process for when we hold these companies accountable is not working for us, then that’s the reason why we’re here today,” Smalls testified. “That’s the reason why I’m here — to represent the workers who make these companies go.”

At the White House visit, Mr. Biden told Smalls, “You’re my kind of trouble.” [A reference to Rep. John Lewis’s “get in good trouble,” no doubt.] And seemingly in a nod to continued unionization efforts at Amazon, Biden also said, “Let’s not stop….”

Jeff “really knocked it out of the park” (not.) — for his single largest investment / share position, there — at Amazon. Well done, you thin-skinned, wrinkly, chuckleheaded billionaire. Destroying all the stockholders’ value, on the daily.

Sit down — AMZN is not your toy to destroy, any more than Tesla is Elon’s. Both of you have public shareholders.

Confidential advice: check your egos — and your privileges.

नमस्ते

For Guys That USED To Claim To Care About Politicians Being Bribed…

Just go ahead and read it. I’ll explain the context at the end.

…Serious dangers of actual and apparent quid pro quo corruption attend the transactions Section 304 regulates—again, the use of post-election contributions to repay a candidate’s personal loans. Consider a simple comparison.

When a campaign uses a donation to fund routine electoral activities (including speech), the money marginally aids the candidate’s electoral odds, but in no way adds to his personal wealth. By contrast, when a campaign uses a donation to repay the candidate’s loan, every dollar given goes straight into the candidate’s pocket. With each such contribution, his assets increase; he can now buy a car or make tuition payments or join a country club—all with his donors’ dollars. So contributions going to loan repayment have exceptional value to the candidate which his donors of course realize. And when the contributions occur after the election, their corrupting potential further increases. At that time, a campaign can use donations only to repay loans, of which some 97% come from candidates. See 11 CFR 110.1(b)(3)(i) (2017); A. Ovtchinnikov & P. Valta, SelfFunding of Political Campaigns, Management Science, Articles in Advance 5 (Apr. 7, 2022) (Ovtchinnikov, Self-Funding). So post-election donors can be confident their money will enrich a candidate personally. And those donors have of course learned which candidate won. When they give money to repay the victor’s loan, they know—not merely hope—he will be in a position to perform official favors. The recipe for quid pro quo corruption is thus in place: a donation to enhance the candidate’s own wealth (the quid), made when he has become able to use the power of public office to the donor’s advantage (the quo). The heightened threat of corruption—and, even more, of its appearance—is self-evident (except, it seems, to observers allergic to all campaign finance regulation).

In addressing that special danger, Section 304 is anything but a “prophylaxis-upon prophylaxis,” as the majority labels it. Ante, at 14. The idea behind that fancy-sounding epithet is just that the statute is a needless precaution: The $2,900 contribution ceiling, the majority asserts, already provides generous protection against the corrupting potential of donations, so the loan repayment provision is unnecessary. See ibid. But that claim ignores that Section 304 targets only a subset of contributions, which raise (as just described) unique corruption risks. When an added protection addresses an added danger, the existence of a basic protection (however ordinarily ample) fails to show the supplement’s pointlessness. Regular seatbelts might suffice to protect drivers on the interstate, but special belts—and roll cages to boot—are essential measures on the racetrack. So too, a $2,900 cap might suffice to prevent corruption from normal campaign contributions—but not from post-election contributions to repay a candidate’s loan, and thus to enrich him personally. When Congress, as here, responds to a heightened threat with a heightened safeguard, the majority has no call to “greet” it “with a measure of skepticism….”

So here, in favor of Ted Cruz’s open, knowing and willful violation of federal statutes regulating using direct bribes to handle post election day unpaid personal loans to a campaign from a candidate… the majority (not this able three Justice dissent I’ve quoted above) finds it a burden on speech, too great to be borne, and rewrites a Congressional statute specifically against paying quid pro quo bribes. For this court majority… direct bribes are… just speech.

The conservative Justices want direct bribery to be the norm in national elections. There can be no other understanding of the line by line “rewriting” of what Congress decided was “conduct” — a crime — (not speech).

Just… damn. Damn, Ted Cruz.

And, In a Refinement Of Our 2019 Reporting — Sagittarius A BlackHole, Imaged Anew…

We had originally mentioned this first ever real live image of Sag A* — in April of 2019 (having learned of the project in early April of 2017). Since then, it has been re-released, and greatly refined — with additional processing. So I won’t spoil the beauty of it, with a pic here — go look at the linked article below.

But it all very-visually confirms what each of the mathematical models of black holes predicted would be the visible wavelength appearance of such a beast.

So we run both our original graphic and a small .gif, that is likely very accurate (as confirmed by this ground-breaking in-situ data, of the heart of our own Milky Way). Accurate to what we would witness, that is, should we ever get within a few light years of a smaller black hole, in person.

Here’s that story, courtesy of our flawless Anon. contributor:

…For the first time, humanity has stared into the dark heart of unfathomable chaos at the center of the Milky Way and brought its shadowy form into focus. The object staring back at us, Sagittarius A*, is a monstrous black hole that binds our home galaxy together.

On Thursday, scientists with the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) Collaboration revealed the first direct visual evidence of Sagittarius A*, or Sgr A*, in coordinated worldwide press conferences. Composed of over 300 researchers, the collaboration made headlines three years ago for unveiling the first image of any black hole and has been attempting to image Sgr A* since 2009….

This dazzling light, swirling orange around a shadowy circle, traveled more than 26,000 years to reach us. It is of luminescence birthed at the edge of Sgr A* when Earth’s northern ice sheets reached as far as Manhattan, cave bears still roamed Europe and Homo sapiens settlements were being built from mammoth bones….

Now you know… with various spectral visitors appearing, from all over the globe, of late… so, we may seem more than a little distracted here. Smile. Have a wonderful weekend, one and all… time to take a long ride by the lake — very warm and sunny here.

With one more throwback explainer graphic below, now:

नमस्ते

Hinderaker: “Say What?!”

Well… in order to AVOID talking about ten dead in Buffalo, with a direct cause-effect connection to Tucker Carlson, the gun lobby, Hinderaker’s white separatist manifestos / stances, and Hinderaker’s endless amplification of lies about crime-trends by race…

John decides to wax idiotic about what he calls socialized medicine (itself a straw man complaint about Sen. Sander’s views).

I won’t detail all the ways he’s wrong as this was all set out for him 2008-2016, in explaining to his thick head…what became the ACA of 2010.

I’ll just ask: how long until Hinderaker makes the Buffalo shooter his new cause celebre?

Out.

How It Looks, When Hinderaker… Lacks Basic Reasoning Skills. Sad.

Tonight — probably because his new “hero” Elon Musk is doing a slow walk away from Twitter, Hinderaker decides to suck up to a new rapacious ultra billionaire: Jeff Bezos.

The claim implied by both men is that inflation will get worse, if high income corporations are taxed at higher rates. There is zero evidence to support that theory, except for a few 19th Century… anecdotes, about what robber-barons of the day did, to punish the federal government, when taxes were even suggested, levied or were increased. But that’s not economics… that’s a 1%-er / power imbalance problem. [For his part, Bezos hints but does not say… that he supports the long discredited “trickle down” Lafler economics that Reagan used to balloon the deficit to over $2.5 trillion in the 1980s.]

What is particularly… precious — about John’s groveling before the altar of Bezos… is that he well-knows both Musk and Bezos have never paid a fair share of tax on the vast opportunities the best capital markets on the planet have afforded either/both of them (and, truth told, Hinderaker).

And now in a 19th Century echo effect, both men seek the same “retribution” against the POTUS for saying they too should pay a fair share.

But make no mistake — this is just John trying to insulate the ultra wealthy — from the natural consequences, of their unbridled avarice.

Both men have tried (with only limited success) to lawlessly stamp out unions and their advocates (according to the NLRB staffers)… while failing in many cases to pay workers living wages, or protect them from OTJ daily sexual and/or racial / national origin discrimination and hostile work environments.

So, of course, John loves them up!

G’night, one and all.

Gosh, he is really out of anything relevant… to contribute… ever since Tangerine carted all those top secret documents down to Mar a lago. [That’s now become a DoJ matter BTW. Priceless!]

[Bumped — Told Ya’ So, On April 29.] Musk Puts Deal “On Hold” After Seeing Margin Calls, And Lots Of Bot Accounts…

Updated 05.13.2022 AM: It would seem increasingly likely that he pays his $1 billion broken deal fee — and he’s still about $7.5 billion more liquid than before he started this. But make no mistake, it is highly likely he’s doing a slow walk away. We think Twitter will be a better place without Musk in control. But we feel for the long suffering Twitter stockholders, now stuck on his carnival spin ride, from hell. Yikes. As we said on April 29 (bumped to top now):

Welp — let’s call this one “Musk-ian Motion“. [Think here, of a shepherd moon — but… an evil one.]

This is exactly what is likely to happen, now — every time Tesla slips more than 6% in a few days, on the NASDAQ. There is no doubt that Morgan Stanley and the others will call him — for margin securities, or outright cash… if and when Tesla’s NASDAQ price slips in any material way, through closing date — and potentially beyond.

These bankers are also likely to do so, if Twitter shows a perhaps 10% decline. And should Twitter continue to swoon, the bankers will pressure Elon to restructure his offer, the restructure being a price driven by the “average of the last 20 or 15 days prior to closing date NASDAQ prices of Twitter”. Of course, that will scotch the existing agreements, and they will all have to be reworked — it would also allow the current board to vote to re-instate the pill.

So, I (fairly) wonder — was this all another bit of street theater, to get some $8.5 billion in liquidity out of Tesla, without his fanbois howling that he is doing it for a bad reason?

Soon enough, he may well walk away anyway — and pay his $1 billion kill fee, to Twitter — and still have $7.5 billion of liquidity.

Who knows? With this guy… nothing is ever off the table. Maybe the SEC is seeking a billion dollar penalty for his violations of the 2018 settlement orders, among other matters (as we’ve copiously mentioned) — November 2021, and March 2022.

Who knows?

Enjoy your weekend, one and all. I know I will.

नमस्ते

As Martin Shkreli (And Others) Expressed Interest In Getting Unbanned, At Twitter Should Musk Win Control — Consider This:

It seems at least possible that Musk may not get control of Twitter, since he approached the offer in a plainly unlawful manner. [For his part, Martin remains buoyantly hopeful to be back tweeting. His own FTC and SEC bans likely will prevent that, though.]

WSJ Confirmed: SEC Market Reg Investigating Musk’s Tardy 13D Disclosure — A Pattern Of Violations, Emerges…

As we expected, the SEC has opened another formal investigation into the pretty clear, on public, documented, on the record violations (again!) by Elon Musk, in secretly amassing a stake in Twitter, for over ten days, at much lower prices, before disclosing his intent, to the world.

He thus effectively fleeced all the shareholders he bought from — out of higher prevailing prices, for their shares (had they known he was angling to get the control premium), during the period from March 21 to April 2, when he finally disclosed his intent. This is specifically what the Williams Act rules are designed to outlaw. Stealing from unaware shareholders (when he already was overdue on his duty to disclose), when he himself knew what he was aiming to do — but had told no one.

This is exactly (in part) what saw Mike Milken get a ten year sentence (then commuted) — pattern, repeated violations of the tender offer, or Williams Act rules. And as we’ve detailed, Musk and his family likely traded for their own accounts, on inside information, in advance of when he tweeted his “poll” — on whether to sell stock in Tesla “for taxes” in November of 2021. That too is an open SEC investigation — copiously documented.

So — my punchline is that the otherwise good reporting at WSJ, includes opinions from people who forget that Musk is a serial offender in flouting SEC market integrity rules.

To be clear, that sort of conduct has earned Martin Shkreli a life time SEC banning order — and will earn Elizabeth Holmes a perhaps 15 year ban… and could yet put Musk in the “no public company” board or officer penalty box now for up to two years (my reasonable guess).

And that would end the Twitter deal, entirely. So the WSJ gets that much wrong here (and thus, it remains unlinked here — you may easily search for it, at Google).

It is possible he avoids a harsh penalty, but recall that a federal court judge last month ruled that he cannot alter the terms of his prior SEC settlement — made, to avoid criminal prosecution — for his false 2018 era “funding secured” tweet. He paid over $25 million there to avoid prosecution, and agreed never to again violate SEC rules.

But as the above amply demonstrates… his pattern violations continue.

नमस्ते

There May Have Been A Vast Body Of Water At Utopia Planitia, Relatively Recently — Last 200 Million Years, On Barsoom: China’s Zhurong Reports.

We simply… love this stuff. We ask: when was Mars… last… wet?

We are learning from the Chinese space agency’s Tianwen-1 mission that Utopia Planitia contained liquid water at a time later than NASA had estimated, based on readings from our Viking lander mission, in 1970s, at the same flat Martian plain.

But in the passing of nearly a half century, the instrumentation employed by Zhurong is exponentially better than NASA had available (that might survive the rough ride) on Mars then. So it is of little surprise that China has refined the world’s understanding of when water last flowed on the surface of Mars. Excellent! Here’s the bit, from Space.com reporting:

…The new study is based on data from China’s Zhurong rover, which is part of the Tianwen-1 mission and touched down on the surface of Mars in May 2021. In particular, the scientists used data the rover gathered during its first 92 Martian days, or sols, at its landing site in Utopia Planitia.

Yang Liu, a researcher at the National Space Science Center (NSSC) under the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), and colleagues analyzed data from three different instruments on Zhurong: the laser-induced breakdown spectrometer (MarSCoDe), the telescopic microimaging camera and the short-wave infrared spectrometer….

As I say, that red coal… rising (with a moan) in tonight’s warm Spring sky… will forever fire my… imagination. Were they… us? Are we, now, what they… became? Who knows. But it draws my eyes skyward, on clear nights, to be sure… smile.

नमस्ते