Since we are on the topic of crime and punishment this morning — let’s get this out of the way: there is no way that SBF… skates. Not a chance.
Nope. There is almost no chance he won’t see a sentence at least 20% longer than Elizabeth Holmes. He will learn his fate at a hearing this Thursday morning, in federal court, in Manhattan.
While I don’t think 50+ years is likely, I do think 25 is on the table.
I won’t repeat what the goofy prediction market bets at Polymarket say, but the betting is clustered between 20 and 50 years.
His complete lack of remorse — continuing to mislead — even on the stand… means the mere fact that there have been recoveries in bankruptcy… won’t count for much in reduction of sentence credits, I predict.
Onward.
Powerline Lies... 