John just loves to cherry-pick outlier data — in this case, very sparsely populated rural states (which tend to have GOP governors), and contrast them with denser, more urban ones (which tend to have Democratic governors).
He also loves to treat correlation as… causation. That’s one of the oldest “third grade level” science errors.
This morning he commits… both errors — and combine them, in one sentence.
“…The bottom line, in any event, is that there is no basis for concluding that the nature and extent of the shutdown orders in these states have had any impact on the states’ COVID fatality rates….”
Maybe he should look at Italy. Look alternatively at Spain. Or… look at… Sweden.
Geo-political economies late to issue [or never issued] stay at home proclamations. Deaths… then soared.
BTW, where is his data for the prior claim that the economies, in “no-shutdown states” — or in Sweden (no shelter in place orders), for that matter are still… “flourishing“? That is one really stupid lie. It is obvious the recession/depression is hitting everywhere in the US. Over 32 million are now… jobless, as of only last Thursday.
John…? Hinderaker… Bueller…? Ferris…?
Crickets. [And by June 1, we will have over 100,000 deaths in the US — more than double John’s original “expert” conjecture, for the entire pandemic. We are at least nine months away from a vaccine; more deaths ahead, even with Moderna’s great news, this morning.]
We need to be realistic — and steeled, for a tough summer and fall.
John… is of no help, to anyone — John is a feckless… and dishonest… moron.
See below — and, like John’s rant: “Texas needs rain….” Out.