Mr. Trump Is MUCH Further Behind Now, Than Mr. Romney Was At This Point, In 2012.

Nate Silver has had an impeccable run, picking national electoral political races, in the US, since 2008.

You should believe his algorithms, when they solidly reflect that Mrs. Clinton has opened a much larger lead — and later, too — than Mr. Obama held over Mr. Romney in 2012. In fact, Mr. Silver is expressing concerns about damage Mr. Trump’s “erratic” candidacy is doing down ticket, to the GOP. And he is right. But on the top of the ticket — this picture is worth many thousands of words: