And he was wildly wrong in 2012. And 2008. [Updated on Sunday 06.30.24 — the latest polling, post the debate, puts the race at nearly dead even. People prefer a sensible grandfather over a deranged, lying, incontinent sociopath. Put that in your pipe and smoke it, John.]

In sum, he only ever predicts GOP wins, for the highest office.

So it should be no surprise that he bumblingly missed the call in 2012, after Mr. Obama soundly lost to Mitt Romney in their first debate (but roared back to bury him by November)… that John thinks Tangerine will win from here. He won’t.

John’s most confused about the voting of people of color. But whatever. We will leave that for another day.

My point tonight is that he’s underestimated how much Tangerine’s lies hurt him with more educated voters (about 58% of Americans). It will take a few weeks to sink in, but it will appear.

Watch and learn Hinderaker, as Baby T’s lead evaporates after July 11.

Cheers.