The month is just now about half-over — and it is clear that daily deaths in the US are running about two to three times what PowerLine’s science free staff predicted at July 1. Daily new cases are now exceeding the new cases Paul M. had predicted would be… weekly figures.

As the numbers rise — and rise dramatically — I wonder whether Paul and John will continue to adhere to the hideous prior (July 1) argument that “500 deaths a day” should not warrant aggressive mitigation efforts, nationwide. [He also had the unmitigated gall, on July 1, to suggest the BLM protesters would owe HIM an apology here, for being “alarmist” about these matters, when in fact it has turned out that Trump’s sad Tulsa rally became a super-spreader event, even with small crowd sizes.]

Well, to be clear — the actual rate in July is now closer to triple that, or 1,500 deaths per day, and likely to increase from here, since the number of new cases per day are now more than tripling what Paul expected, at July 1.

So, will John and Paul claim that approximately 45,000 new deaths per month, nation-wide… is a level we should “just live with” — and continue to congregate in crowded bars, without masks, for example? [They argued just that at 15,000 deaths per month — to be clear.] Will they claim again falsely, that less than one percent of all these deaths are in age groups below 60? [They are… sounding increasingly like WWII German “human herd culling” / eugenics adherents, to be honest.]

In any event, here is a link to the July 1 guess-timate post, from Paul M. — and a bit:

“…Unfortunately, deaths from the virus didn’t decline during the month as much as I expected. Instead of dropping to around 500 per day, they remained closer to 700. Only on weekends does the count tend to come in at 500 or fewer. [Ed. note: now triple that, daily.]

In a way, it’s surprising that the daily death count decreased at all in June. After all, the daily number of known new infections essentially doubled during the month — from around 23,000 per day to around 45,000….”

That flippant last remark: OMG. Seriously?! 3.5 million Americans now have the virus — and growing.

Well, it is now clear that the doubling Paul feared will not just continue, but will become… a tripling — perhaps into late September, minimum — unless we go back into a modified lock-down, nationwide.

Yes, the grim evidence is piling up, day by day: people who cannot understand pandemic math… ought to shut the f#ck up — and John and Paul — are responsible for essentially all these excess deaths, now. They were all… largely avoidable.

Rushing to re-open is killing far more people than it arguably could have ever saved.

Full stop. Paul: Please. Just stop bloggin’ about your nonsense theories.