In Which Bitsy… Loses The Plot… Again.

As of Sunday afternoon, Betsy Stauffer has yet to comment on the Tangerine’s superseding indictment counts; and has failed to mention the looming third set of felony charges.

Instead, she thinks the biggest story of the coming week is going to be some convicted felon (awaiting sentencing) being served softball questions by House GOP MAGAts.

As we asked in an immediately prior post… why do these MAGAts give national play to lying felons?

Because they are out of… better options.

Like Bitsy, they long ago painted themselves into this corner.

And I’m here for all of it!

Grin.

Scott Sees “Dead People… All The Time” A La “Sixth Sense”…

So… the frothy hard right (i.e., Scott) GOP thinks a felony convict, who has now lost all his appeals… being scheduled for a surrender date by an AUSA in SDNY… is “witness intimidation”?!?

Precious.

I might ask the US House (frothy right) GOP: “Why are you inclined to accept anything this convicted and sentenced felon has to say… as worthy of belief, let alone CSPAN hearings?!”

Damn you hard right GOP whyte geezers are… gullible — or feckless… or, both!

Merck + NewLink: The Ebola Vaccine Will Now Be Approved In US For Children Age 1 And Up [Was 18 And Up].

The WHO had already recommended it for children (in emergencies), last year. And — as we all know — the bulk of the burden of this virus would be in sub-Saharan Africa. Of course, though, many local governments (including many in Africa) wait, and follow US FDA’s lead.

Now that key approval has come — so whenever the next flare up occurs (and we may be certain a flare up will come, in time, again), most of sub-Saharan Africa will already have approvals to administer the Zaire version vaccine to toddlers and children, in ring fashion (contacts of contacts). That’s the import of this development. Here’s that recent news, from the pharmaletter.com:

…Last Thursday, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Ervebo, a vaccine for the prevention of Ebola virus disease caused by Zaire ebolavirus in individuals 12 months through 17 years of age.

Developed by US pharma giant Merck & Co, Ervebo has been approved in Europe and the USA for use in individuals 18 years of age and older since late 2019.

Cases of Ebola are very rare in the USA, and those that have occurred have been the result of infections acquired by individuals in other countries who then traveled to the USA, or health care workers who became ill after treating patients with Ebola, the FDA noted….

Now you know… smiling. All good news. Be excellent to one another… as ever.

नमस्ते

Hinderaker Seems Increasingly Stuck On “Worn Out / Replay” — Of Battles, Long Lost, In Prior Wars. Hilarious!

Lacking any GOP story that doesn’t require assessing Tangerine’s ongoing destruction of the former brand — and approaching guaranty of wipe-out losses in 2024… Hinderaker, particularly, and Powerline in general, has become (almost exclusively) what he used to say he hated:

…A culture warrior, howling impotently into the night sky, in rural Minnesota.

He bleats about things that are either exaggerated, or simply… trivial (involve only one professional crisis actor — but for the frothy right).

So it goes. This is what approaching senility (and irrelevance) looks like, folks.

A “Sneak Peek” At Merck’s Q2 2023 Likely Performance — With Earnings Due On Tuesday — Before Market Open…

Do go read this whole piece, if this strikes your interest. In the last six or so years, I’ve stopped putting out quarterly predictions for Merck and Pfizer, but I am toying with the idea of resuming that tradition. We shall see.

In any event, this particular author’s analysis may be slightly off, on a few lesser metrics, but in the main it reads as almost all spot-on. Again, if you are looking to trade Merck’s Q2 disclosures — be sure to read this in advance of Tuesday. Here’s a bit:

…In oncology drugs, Keytruda sales are likely to have been driven by continued strong momentum in metastatic indications and rapid uptake across recent earlier-stage launches. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Keytruda’s sales is $5.87 billion, while our estimate is $5.69 billion. However, Keytruda’s year-over-year growth rate in the United States is expected to have moderated in the second quarter as the impact of the strong initial uptake of earlier-stage indications softened. In outside U.S. markets, while volumes are expected to have remained strong, pricing is expected to have been a headwind….

With regard to the HPV vaccine, Gardasil, ex-U.S. sales are expected to have been driven by strong demand in international markets like China in the second quarter. In the United States, sales were flat in the first quarter. It remains to be seen if sales trends improved in the second quarter. Overall, though Gardasil revenue growth in 2023 is expected to be higher than 2022 levels, the rate of growth in the second quarter is expected to have been less than the first quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Gardasil is $1.99 billion.

Meanwhile, the top line is expected to have witnessed the impact of the loss of U.S. market exclusivity for drugs like Remicade, Noxafil and Zetia. Lower demand and pricing in the United States and generic competition in certain international markets may have hurt sales of the diabetes franchise (Januvia/Janumet). The drugs lost market exclusivity in China in July and the European Union in September last year….

Merck did deliver an upside surprise of almost 5 per cent, at the sales line in Q1 2023… no reason to believe that won’t appear again, this quarter. Onward — grinning, with a creamy root beer float now… with a recording of last week’s NY Met Opera on in the background… out.

नमस्ते

We See Here… A World The Size Of Four Earths… Having Its Atmosphere Stripped By A Young Hot Red Dwarf Star…

If we could travel to within a few light hours… of this system… what a fireworks show we would witness.

The very young (less than 100 million years old) system features a close orbiting world, that is being shredded in the upper atmosphere, at least, by gouging electromagnetic swirls from the very nearby star. It might look lik a freight train on the tracks, during a foggy night — with a glowing beacon ahead as well as behind it, as it passed in front of the host star… as imaged by NASA artists at right. Here’s the full story:

…NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope [recently observed that] the planet looked like it wasn’t losing any material at all, while an orbit observed with Hubble a year and a half later showed clear signs of atmospheric loss.

This extreme variability between orbits shocked astronomers. “We’ve never seen atmospheric escape go from completely not detectable to very detectable over such a short period when a planet passes in front of its star,” said Keighley Rockcliffe of Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire. “We were really expecting something very predictable, repeatable. But it turned out to be weird. When I first saw this, I thought ‘That can’t be right.'”

Rockcliffe was equally puzzled to see, when it was detectable, the planet’s atmosphere puffing out in front of the planet, like a headlight on a fast-bound train. “This frankly strange observation is kind of a stress-test case for the modeling and the physics about planetary evolution. This observation is so cool because we’re getting to probe this interplay between the star and the planet that is really at the most extreme,” she said.

Located 32 light-years from Earth, the parent star AU Microscopii (AU Mic) hosts one of the youngest planetary systems ever observed. The star is less than 100 million years old (a tiny fraction of the age of our Sun, which is 4.6 billion years old). The innermost planet, AU Mic b, has an orbital period of 8.46 days and is just 6 million miles from the star (about 1/10th the planet Mercury’s distance from our Sun). The bloated, gaseous world is about four times Earth’s diameter….

[This local star’s solar] flares are powered by intense magnetic fields that get tangled by the roiling motions of the stellar atmosphere. When the tangling gets too intense, the fields break and reconnect, unleashing tremendous amounts of energy that are 100 to 1,000 times more energetic than our Sun unleashes in its outbursts. It’s a blistering fireworks show of torrential winds, flares, and X-rays blasting any planets orbiting close to the star. “This creates a really unconstrained and frankly, scary, stellar wind environment that’s impacting the planet’s atmosphere,” said Rockcliffe….

Now you know — be excellent to one another, as ever… smile.

नमस्ते

Based On These US BP Photos, The US Will Win An Injunction Against Texas — This Is A “Structure” In A Federal Waterway…

Over the last two days, the US government has moved in federal court, for an injunction against Greg Abbott’s lawless floating razor wire barrier — now of over a fourth of a mile in length(!) — in federal water.

Significantly, that barrier is firmly anchored, at about every thirty feet, with spikes and pylons, driven deep into the riverbed. This is without doubt… a “structure” directly prohibited by 33 USC §403, which is now impeding a federal waterway.

As such, the statutes are crystal clear: the Army Corps of Engineers may properly be instructed to immediately destroy it. And they will, in very short order — under a federal court order.

Until they arrive, though — the Administration will have an injunction against any further Texans’ lawlessness, as contemplated by 33 USC §403, et seq..

Do stay tuned — these photos are from affidavits filed with the motion for injunction, all taken by US Border Patrol agents, by drone.

Now you know. What an evil lil’ cretin that Abbott is.

Team Biden Has Answered — As To Why Judge Doughty’s July 4 “Injunction” Is… A Mess.

This fine 65 page brief was just filed tonight, in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, and it will ultimately be the argument that wins the day — either here, or in the Supremes.

It masterfully dissects most of the manifold errors Monroe, Louisiana’s Doughty made. [And that’s why it takes 65 pages. Heh!] Here’s a bit:

…The district court’s 155-page opinion contained not a word of justification for the breathtaking scope of relief. Even in response to the government’s motion for a stay pending appeal, the district court’s only comment on the injunction’s scope was to suggest that including entire agencies was appropriate, even if some subcomponents had nothing to do with the challenged conduct, because agencies could otherwise “simply instruct a sub-agency to perform the prohibited acts and avoid the consequences of an injunction.” ROA.26658. It is not possible for this Court to defer to the district court’s exercise of its equitable discretion absent an explanation of the court’s reasoning. See, e.g., Geier v. Sundquist, 372 F.3d 784, 792 (6th Cir. 2004) (“Absent some indication of how the district court’s discretion was exercised, we have no way of knowing whether that discretion was abused.”). In any event, there is nothing the district court could have said to justify an injunction so manifestly disconnected from any harm (much less any forward-looking harm) to plaintiffs.

At a minimum, therefore, this Court should vacate the injunction to the extent it restricts government communications not specifically targeted to particular content posted by plaintiffs themselves. Such an injunction—which would leave the government free to communicate with platforms about specific posts by others or about any general category of content — would avoid burdening a vast universe of government actions lacking any connection to plaintiffs in particular….

[O]ne of the central constitutional duties and prerogatives of the President and his senior officials is to speak about harms in the world and ways of addressing those harms, and Executive Branch officials must have latitude to do so forcefully at times. But the injunction subjects many such communications to a risk of contempt. Consider, for example, a hypothetical statement from the White House podium that the President denounces misinformation about a recent natural disaster circulating online and urges platforms not to disseminate those falsehoods. In opposing a stay pending appeal, plaintiffs were admirably forthright in explaining that they would regard such a statement as violating the injunction. Opp. 24. But the prospect of contempt for such a statement flies in the face of a long history of presidential attempts to persuade members of the American public, including American companies, to act in the national interest. See supra p. 20. Even the potential for the injunction to be construed as limiting the communication of the President’s views regarding issues of public consequence — and for a federal district court to superintend those communications — raises grave separation-of-powers concerns….

What a wack-job of a 105 page opinion that Doughty burped out, on the Fourth holiday, no less — this year. It will be stricken — and dropped into the ash-bin of US History.

Out.

In Which Steve Hayward Gets It… Completely Wrong, About Today’s Tigar Opinion. YAWN.

Steve unceremoniously burps — and then says (in error) it is a “runaway” judiciary problem.

Hah!

Precious. I’m old enough to remember when Steve actually wanted the plain statutes to be read, and enforced, just as written.

That’s all the able USDC Judge Tigar did today — he did it to Tangerine’s lawlessness, and he did it to Mr. Biden’s slightly altered version, this afternoon.

See my priors here. This is ALL about it not mattering where you cross, and whether the statutory scheme (in place for three decades, minimum) creates certain due process rights — for putative asylees.

It does.

Full stop. They have the right — RIGHT! — to cross by waterway, or overland, anywhere — even in the wilderness.

So, it ALSO means… Greg Abbott loses, Steve. That’s all. Judge Tigar already beat Trump’s appeal, on the same grounds, three years ago.

He will prevail, again. 8 USC §1158(a) means what it says.

Out, dummy.

East Bay IV: In Which The Able USDC Judge Tigar Says “Congress Meant What It Said” — Crossing ANYWHERE, And Seeking Asylum… Confers Due Process Rights.

It is timely that the able Judge published his ruling this very afternoon — and perhaps not coincidental, since Texas (and Gov. Abbott) argue that if one doesn’t cross at a port of entry, one cannot claim our treaties’ protections. Poppycock. That has never been the law. Ever. [Thus, Abbott’s floating razor wire stunt is a violation of prospective asylees’ due process rights, and under color of state law… and so, lawyers will win civil damages from him, and Texas, for this.]

As we said back in May of 2023, this is but an echo — of a similar Trump attempt that the able judge invalidated, and ultimately the Supremes agreed with Judge Tigar. So it is unsurprising that Mr. Biden’s similar measure too now falls. [It disappoins me that he tried this — and I said so, in May, right here.] In any event, here’s the 35 page final opinion in full — just released to the public docket; and a bit:

…Congress granted the agencies authority to impose additional conditions on asylum eligibility, but only those consistent with Section 1158. The Rule effectively conditions asylum eligibility on whether a noncitizen qualifies for any of three exceptions — presenting at a port of entry, having been denied protection by another country in transit, and having parole-related travel authorization — or can show exceptionally compelling circumstances. . . .

The agencies can only condition asylum eligibility based on these factors if doing so is consistent with Section 1158. Two of the conditions imposed by the Rule have been previously found to be inconsistent with Section 1158. Under binding Ninth Circuit precedent, conditioning asylum eligibility on presenting at a port of entry or having been denied protection in transit conflicts with the unambiguous intent of Congress as expressed in Section 1158. Entry V, 993 F.3d at 671 (“[T]he [Entry] Rule is substantively invalid because it conflicts with the plain congressional intent instilled in [Section] 1158(a), and is therefore ‘not in accordance with law.’”) (quoting 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A)); Transit V, 994 F.3d at 976 (“We hold, independently of Chevron, that the [Transit] Rule is not ‘consistent with’ [Section] 1158.

We note, however, that we would come to the same conclusion even if we were to apply Chevron, for the Rule is contrary to the unambiguous language of [Section] 1158.”). Section 1158(a) permits noncitizens to apply for asylum regardless of whether or not they arrive at a designated port of entry; a rule that conditions eligibility for asylum on presentment at a port of entry conflicts with Section 1158(a). Entry V, 993 F.3d at 669–70. The safe-third-country and firm-resettlement bars, 8 U.S.C. § 1158(a)(2)(A), (b)(2)(A), “specifically address[] the circumstances in which an alien who has traveled through, or stayed in, a third country can be deemed sufficiently safe in that country to warrant a denial of asylum in the United States”; conditioning asylum eligibility on having been denied protection in transit is not consistent with these bars….

Now you know — and Judge Tigar will be vindicated, again, on appeal. The defendants have already appeal to the Ninth Circuit. But they will… lose. Again. Onward.

नमस्ते