No, Scott: Now We Have A “Dotard Who…”

Johnson crows today in giddy fashion… to the effect that we have a courageous occupant at 1600 Penn. If by courageous he means to say that we have signed up for a decade of a quagmire throughout the Middle East, overnight… Then I agree.

[And that’s almost exactly the opposite of what Mirengoff had to say… i.e., “never be giddy as wars start.”]

There are already several US troops killed in action — and many more wounded — all as cheap drones are pounding cities nominally uninvolved entirely… as Iran’s military strikes back at nations and oligarchs who didn’t sufficiently “stand up for them.”

By my lights, none of this is courage — that is only… foreseeable… chaos.

And if the Tangerine Dotard had a working forebrain, I’d label it as “chaos by design”.

On the one hand, I am sure Bibi designed it — and on the other, I am pretty sure that Trump doesn’t even understand what he’s done. Charming, Scottie. Just charming.

Out.

Update, In The 2018 Chicago Class Action: Scheduling — And Facts That Will NOT Establish “Probable Cause” — To Arrest.

We have followed this case since Tangerine 1.0, in 2018. It is still actively seeing the release of people grabbed off the street lawlessly by ICE agents, here. Below is the update from USDC Judge Michael Cummings, in the Dirksen building.

Do go read it all — but here’s a bit — establishing what is NOT “probable cause” to detain/arrest:

…[Scheduling:] Plaintiffs shall respond to defendants’ request for clarification by March 3, 2026. Defendants shall file a reply in support of their request by March 6, 2026. The Court will review the parties’ submissions and will either issue a ruling by mail or set a hearing if appropriate….

[On substantive law:] Defendants assert that there is probable cause because JGT stopped working when the agent approached and appeared nervous (Dckt. #296 at 9). The fact that JGT appeared nervous and stopped working when the agents approached is insufficient to establish probable cause. See, e.g., Ramirez Ovando v. Noem, No. 1:25-CV03183-RBJ, 2025 WL 3293467, at *16 (D.Colo. Nov. 25, 2025). After consideration of the relevant factors, the Court finds that plaintiffs have proven by a preponderance of the evidence that JGT was arrested without a warrant and that defendants’ agents lacked probable cause to believe that JGT was likely to escape before a warrant could be obtained for his arrest….

Defendants assert that there is probable cause because the agent noticed that AI abruptly changed the direction he was walking and continued to watch the agent’s car as it drove by (Dckt. #296 at 9). At most, this fact is “merely suspicious” and it falls short of showing a “substantial probability” that he is likely to escape as is required for probable cause. See, e.g., Ramirez Ovando, 2025 WL 3293467, at *15. After consideration of the relevant factors, the Court finds that plaintiffs have proven by a preponderance of the evidence that defendants’ agents lacked probable cause to believe that JGT was likely to escape before a warrant could be obtained for his arrest….

Defendants assert that probable cause exists because ZZ was walking out of a store, saw the agents, and began acting “very nervously” (Dckt. #296 at 9). This fact is insufficient to establish probable cause for the reasons stated above. After consideration of the relevant factors, the Court finds that plaintiffs have proven by a preponderance of the evidence that defendants’ agents lacked probable cause to believe that ZZ was likely to escape before a warrant could be obtained for his arrest….

Defendants assert that probable cause exists because LVS began crying when the agent approached and begged him not to arrest her and the agent indicates that she tried to flee and refused to obey instructions (Dckt. #296 at 9). The I-213’s specific narrative of what occurred during the encounter does not indicate that LVS tried to flee or that she refused to obey instructions. Moreover, the fact that LVS started crying and begged not to be arrested does not support a finding of probable cause that she would be likely to flee before agents could obtain a warrant for her arrest. After consideration of the relevant factors, the Court finds that plaintiffs have proven by a preponderance of the evidence that defendants’ agents lacked probable cause to believe that LVS was likely to escape before a warrant could be obtained for her arrest….

These people… are monsters — they should find other lines of work. This is soul-crushing work — it does no one… any good. We the people should can the lot of them.

[Onward, to a piece of experimental theater — about the lynching of Emmett Till, on the city’s west side, this afternoon. ]

नमस्ते

The Lancet: On The First Year Of Anti-Biological-Sciences Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Damn.

There is very little more needed, to introduce this, if you’ve been reading my stuff.

He is a malignant loon — and likely mentally-diminished, by decades of heavy street-drug use (by his own written admissions). [He has, during these drug ragers, beheaded animals and left them in the open, inside Central Park. WTAF?]

But this is the caliber of high administration official Trump has sold control of the nation’s public health regulatory agencies off to. Insane. Do go read it all [as a pdf file] — but here’s a bit:

…HHS under Kennedy has made a habit of throwing good money after bad science. Amid the Trump administration’s cuts to research funding and personnel there has been a harmful shift in priorities. Cuttingedge discoveries and clinical investigations — on subjects ranging from mRNA vaccines to diabetes and dementia — are denied crucial resources while junk science and fringe beliefs are elevated without justifiable explanation. Under Kennedy’s leadership, politicization at the NIH, FDA, and CDC is imperilling the future of US science and innovation and throttling the public health enterprise that keeps the country safe today.

The mechanisms maintained by the Federal Government to monitor and report health concerns such as drug overdoses, maternal mortality, and food security have been as beleaguered as the doctors and scientists who rely on them; thousands of datasets are no longer publicly available, leaving Americans — and the world — unprepared to respond to future crises.

And crises are looming: in November, 2025, the first human infection (and death) from the H5N5 strain of avian flu was recorded in Washington state; pertussis, which killed 13 people in the USA in 2025, continues to spread across the country; and the measles outbreak that began in January of last year now threatens the elimination status of the USA and Mexico….

May the goddesses… protect us — from him. This is every bit as deplorable as the now three US troops killed in action in the Gulf, and five more — already severely injured. And Trump (the author of their demise) won’t even bother to attend their remains returns — at Andrews AFB. Damn.

नमस्ते

Update — On NASA’s / SpaceX’s / ISS Crew 11’s Adventure… And The Medical Issue, That Cut The Ride Short.

We will offer more… off-world, real and true patriotic deep blue hero content — for a bit here. [And, my prior entry, on this.]

NASA and Mike Fincke have obliged, thus:

…NASA is sharing the following information at the request of NASA astronaut Mike Fincke:

“On Jan. 7, while aboard the International Space Station, I experienced a medical event that required immediate attention from my incredible crewmates. Thanks to their quick response and the guidance of our NASA flight surgeons, my status quickly stabilized.

After further evaluation, NASA determined the safest course was an early return for Crew-11 — not an emergency, but a carefully coordinated plan to be able to take advantage of advanced medical imaging not available on the space station. On Jan. 15, we splashed down off the coast of San Diego after an amazing five-and-a-half-month mission.

I am deeply grateful to my fellow Expedition 74 members—Zena Cardman, Kimiya Yui, Oleg Platonov, Chris Williams, Sergey Kud-Sverchkov, and Sergei Mikayev — as well as the entire NASA [science and engineering] team, SpaceX, and the medical professionals at Scripps Memorial Hospital La Jolla near San Diego. Their professionalism and dedication ensured a positive outcome.

I’m doing very well and continuing standard post-flight reconditioning at NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston. Spaceflight is an incredible privilege, and sometimes it reminds us just how human we are. Thank you all for your support….”

Now you know. Onward, resolutely. Grin.

नमस्ते

And To Bend The Arc Back, Toward… Positivity… A Red To Yellow Hyper-Giant… Eating Its [Binary] Blue Dwarf: Interstellar Science, From Athens, Greece.

I need to look away from this present Wag the Dog moment, for a bit — and may not mention it again, unless US- or Israeli- troops are killed in large numbers. But that does not mean I approve. [There is a need to corral the oppressive regime in Iran, and the leaders’ nuclear ambitions — but this is not the way, in my estimation.]

So to better (still evolving) narratives — off some 163,000 light-years, into the night skies — in the Large Magellanic Cloud — sits a supermassive red to yellow binary, that is “spagettifying” its companion blue dwarf. That added energy may be its undoing, as it is now possible that it super-novas” on a non-geological time scale (i.e., potentially, before our very eyes/telescopes). Here’s that fascinating story — and a bit, out of Athens, Greece:

…The doomed star in question is WOH G64 (also known as IRAS 04553–6825), located in a satellite galaxy of the Milky Way known as the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC), around 163,000 light-years away. The star is around 1,540 times the size of the sun, with almost 30 times the mass of our star and a staggering 282,000 times its brightness. Discovered in the 1970s, WOH G64 has always appeared to be a red supergiant star surrounded by a ring, or torus, of dense dust.

However, in 2014, the appearance of this supergiant began to change. A team of astronomers, led by Gonzalo Muñoz-Sanchez at the National Observatory of Athens, noticed the star’s color changing along with a corresponding increase in its surface temperature. Muñoz-Sanchez and colleagues determined this must represent the transformation of a red supergiant into a rare yellow hypergiant, which could also mean astronomers are witnessing a star “die” in real time….

“The fate of stars with initial masses between 23 and 30 solar masses after evolving into red supergiants is still uncertain. In this case, WOH G64 was the most extreme red supergiant known, with an estimated mass of around 28 solar masses,” Muñoz-Sanchez told Space.com. “It remains unclear whether such stars explode as supernovas, collapse directly into black holes, or evolve from the red supergiant phase into a yellow hypergiant stage before ending their lives. “WOH G64 might be the solution to this question….”

Super-nova, next? We shall — as ever — see. Onward, resolutely.

नमस्ते

Full-On March 2019, Again?! Yep — Oil Nations War, Too!

That moment, when Persian Gulf hot wars (over oil, at bottom) flared again… spot Bitcoin crashed to around ~$3,000 before recovering.

This time, once again, all of the chaos of Trump is in high dudgeon, roiling the markets. Moreover, a “Wag the Dog” scenario is no longer purely (Epstein) fiction — with a burgeoning potential for oil well-wars (underway) in the Persian Gulf (again), spot Bitcoin will fall below $60,000, next week — almost to a certainty.

And Riot Platforms will announce Q4 and a full year ‘25 — of staggering losses Monday night of next week — into all of this bad news… [hilariously prodigious timing there, kids!]

Here’s CoinDesk, on the latest full-on “Vulture Scenario” like 03.2019:

…In mid-November 2018, CoinDesk discussed a bearish flip in long-term averages on a chart that bundles three days of price action into each candle. It warned that a similar occurrence in 2014 deepened the bear market and, within a week, bitcoin crashed to under $4,500 from $6,000, extending the decline from the peak of roughly $20,000.

Cut to April 2022. The same pattern occurred, with the same result. BTC’s bear market deepened and prices cratered to $17,500 from $32,000, having already dropped from the late 2021 record of nearly $70,000.

Now, the pattern’s back again (check the Technical Analysis section). While past performance is not a guarantee of future results, history calls for caution. Some savvy traders are preparing for a deeper crash below $60,000…

Now you know — do buckle up — for Monday night blood-letting at Riot, too.

F U G L Y.

Onward.

नमस्ते

Team Hegseth, And Team Noem: Supposed To Wear Same Color Jersey. Seems… They Don’t, Really. Feuding Cabinet Lackeys Edition.

This is eventually going to get US service members killed — mark my words.

Yesterday, it was only a “dead” drone.

But apparently the “Dept. of War” fired on one of its own: a US Border Patrol drone near Fort Hancock, Texas — with a laser: “Pew-pew-pew!” End, drone patrol mission. [And. . . we know Tangerine 2.0 is thinking of actions into Iran?! How many own goals to come there? Damn.] Here’s that from the NYT, tonight:

…The closure of airspace near the U.S.-Mexico border for the second time over the use of lasers to shoot down drones is the latest evidence that some powerful government agencies seem to be at war. With each other.

On Thursday, the Federal Aviation Administration closed air travel over the small town of Fort Hancock, Texas, after soldiers fired a high-energy laser on a drone they deemed threatening. The drone was later determined to have been flown by Customs and Border Protection, a division of the Department of Homeland Security.

A preliminary internal report on the incident said Customs and Border Protection had not notified the Defense Department it was launching a drone in that area. So to the military, it was an unknown drone, a Pentagon official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss an investigation into the matter….

This is what happens when deeply incompetent people lead organizations — everything starts to fall… apart. Out.

नमस्ते

NASA Admits: There Will Be No Artemis “Boots On Moon” Before Late 2028 — If Ever.

This very morning, Trump’s guy at NASA — after the dual disappointments, on the two most recent “wet” dress rehearsals we detailed — has made it clear that Trump is unhappy that we won’t have some goofy show-boat junk-mission surrounding the Moon, for this coming Fourth of July (250th).

So he is announcing a hiring jamboree of some sort — and the goal is to increase the number of missions per year. Yikes. To be clear, I am all for increasing NASA’s science and engineering team budgets. [But I favor safer, robotic missions of high science value — to Mars, and beyond.]

In any event, here is the presser, but not too much of this will get funded after the mid-terms — and almost certainly not, when there is a new occupant at 1600 Penn.:

…As teams prepare to launch Artemis II in the weeks ahead, the Artemis III mission, now in 2027, will be designed to test out systems and operational capabilities in low Earth orbit to prepare for an Artemis IV landing in 2028. This new mission will endeavor to include a rendezvous and docking with one or both commercial landers from SpaceX and Blue Origin, in-space tests of the docked vehicles, integrated checkout of life support, communications, and propulsion systems, as well as tests of the new Extravehicular Activity (xEVA) suits.

NASA will further define this test flight after completing detailed reviews between NASA and our industry partners. The agency will share the specific objectives for the updated Artemis III mission in the near future.

NASA’s recently announced workforce directive is a key factor in enabling this acceleration. NASA will rebuild core competencies in the civil servant workforce including more in-house and side-by-side development work with our Artemis partners, enabling a safer, more reliable, and faster launch cadence….

Now you now. Onward.

नमस्ते

In The Appeal Of The Hudson Tunnel Payments Awards / Prelim. Injunction… A Stay Motion Filed In Second Cir. — To Be Heard Tuesday.

Just a smallish update — on this “Tangerine’s Vanity” case.

The upper court will hear argument next week, on Tuesday, as to whether the already contracted-for, but future payments due may be stayed, during appeals:

…NOTICE OF MOTION PLACED ON THE CALENDAR

A motion for stay pending appeal filed in the above-referenced case has been added as a submitted case to the substantive motions calendar for Tuesday, March 3, 2026….

Now you know. Onward, resolutely.

नमस्ते

CIDRAP: At Fighting Mpox, Tecovirimat (Tpoxx) No Better Than A Placebo… Disappointing.

But this is why we do actual… [bio-]science. Why we run independently-monitored, generally double-blinded clinical trials — with peer reviews, before publishing.

Knowing the actual facts… matters. Even when it means we need to look in other directions.

Heres’ the latest, from CIDRAP:

…The antiviral drug tecovirimat (Tpoxx) is no better than placebo in achieving a shorter time to clinical resolution, reduced pain, or increased viral DNA clearance in adults infected with clade 2 mpox virus, per a phase 3 randomized controlled trial published yesterday in the New England Journal of Medicine.

An international roster of investigators in the Advancing Clinical Therapeutics Globally Study of Tecovirimat for Human Mpox Virus (STOMP/A5418) group randomly assigned 412 participants in a 2:1 ratio to receive either tecovirimat (275 patients) or a placebo (137) for 14 days from September 2022 to October 2024….

At 29 days, the estimated cumulative rate of clinical resolution was 83% in tecovirimat recipients and 84% in those given placebo, and 79% of tecovirimat recipients and 81% in the placebo group had clinical resolution of skin lesions. The competing-risks hazard ratio (crHR) for clinical resolution was 0.98. No significant differences were observed between the two groups in pain reduction in participants reporting severe pain (difference, 0.1 point) or in complete lesion healing (crHR, 0.97)….

Onward, resolutely just the same. [And yep — this is power alley stuff.]

नमस्ते