[U, X2: 404, Now.] A Trivial [Social] Sciences Experiment…

Updated: Before midnight Eastern US time, the App has disappeared from the App Store, and the one I secured this afternoon won’t launch. It is now DOA / 404. Thud — end of update; and end, experiment. Out.

Pretty trivial, but for the first time ever, I just downloaded TikTok from the App Store.

I won’t sign in, and I won’t open it… But I will wait to see what happens come Sunday Saturday night. [Let us be clear, though — the law as written (at subsecton (g)(6)) only allows the preznit to certify that a “solution” by divestiture — to non-China entities — has been completed. There is no provision for his supposed 90-day “extension”. The bipartisan Congress did not grant him that power. Full stop.]

Will it vanish? Or will it continue?

Updated, X2: Tangerine 2.0 says he may sign an executive order to re-instate TikTok. The only plausibly lawful way that works (as we indicated above, and in this Friday post)… is if he certifies, after a multi-agency review, that there has been “substantial progress” on a deal to divest the US operations, to non-state-enemy controlled forces.

How exactly might a multi-agency review occur in under three elapsed days? Over King Weekend 2025? Color me… skeptical.

We shall see. Onward.

नमस्ते

Thesis: John Hinderaker… Is… Senile.

Hinderaker understands nothing about immigration.

He thinks this “emo show” may mean something. He also thinks that the law the US Supreme Court endorsed, for local cities and states… is not the law. Rubio, Miller and yes, Tangerine 2.0 will soon see: the ICE goons will not have their way in our towns.

It only means Hinderaker and his buddies are engaging in crisis actors’ repertory theater.

What a… dishonest, deluded loser he is.

Onward.

Y A W N. We Saw The 1.0 Version — “Sturm and Drang” — In The Main, We Pushed His ICE Raids Out Of Our Cities: Welcoming Ordinance 101.

Yep. Tangerine 2.0 now claims his deportation forces will come to Chicago, as early as this coming Tuesday (right after King Day 2025). Y A W N. It is his version of being… emo. Not much more.

So, sure — sure… cool story, bro.

Yep — our local laws have been upheld in the US Supreme Court, from last time around. Inside City Limits, and inside my township just north of it, local law enforcement has the right, and will act to enforce it… to turn the ICE raiders off of the streets. And the local volunteer forces, aided by local law enforcement (if need be) will guide ALL PERSONS (regardless of undocumented status), to walk peaceably, quietly and safely away from any ICE raid, to the nearest church. Once inside the church, ICE will be trespassing if they enter. And they will be arrested. Here’s a bit:

…The [Tangerine 2.0] plan is slated to start Tuesday, the day after President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration, and is expected to last through the following Monday, according to the unnamed sources cited by the New York Times. The dates could change, as plans are still being finalized, the Times reports.

Between 150 and 200 Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers are expected to be sent to Chicago, according to the reports….

Last week, Mayor Brandon Johnson reiterated his support Chicago’s “welcoming city” status, and also urged Trump to pass an immigration reform bill.

“Our local law enforcement is not going to participate in any way with federal agents. We’re going to adhere to the law here in Chicago,” he said….

Tangerine 2.0 is already largely shaping up to be “bread and circus” shows, for the least able in the MAGA ranks. Personally, I am already… bored. But there you have it. He’s a lame duck on his first day. Out.

नमस्ते

Tough News: First Clade 1b Mpox Case Seen, In A 22 Year Old Traveler Returning Home — To Azerbaijan…

It is particularly annoying that this news comes a day after Kennedy Jr. testified that six weeks into the COVID-19 vaccine roll out — he did his level best to stop that vaccine program. [Ahem. It saved perhaps 10 million lives, compared to the Spanish Flu of 1918.]

Dammit, man. Wake up. Every day, all across the globe, we are seeing the benefit of mRNA vaccines, like the Mpox one — and the Marburg one and the previous (live, attenuated) Smallpox, Rubella and Polio vaccines. Just. Damn. And yes — I blame Tangerine 2.0, for making this joker relevant — in any serious discussion.

In any event, here is the latest, on what I think is about the 25th nation outside of Africa to see an Mpox Clade 1b case, this time around:

…A case of mpox has been found in Azerbaijan, Interfax news agency reported on Saturday, adding that the patient had been isolated and was receiving treatment in hospital.

Interfax quoted Azerbaijan’s Ministry of Health and Management Union of Medical Territorial Units (TABIB) as saying the patient was a 22-year-old citizen of Azerbaijan who had been on a tourist trip abroad from Jan. 2-11….

Onward — hopefully to a meaningful MLK Day 2025 — and, nope… the inaugural will not be broadcast in my home. Not a chance. I’ll listen to the classic Brock Peters narration of a three hour audio feed of… the great man’s life and times. Get it — on NPR — wherever you are. Smile….

नमस्ते

M&A Rumor Mill — On This Chilly Friday Night, I’d Guess That Amazon May Be In The Best Position To Buy TikTok’s US Operations…

To be clear, the companies looking at this have likely been talking for weeks, if not months, as a Plan B (or Plan A, actually) if (as transpired today) the US Supreme Court found the involved Congressional Act to be constitutional, and enforceable against ByteDance, on national security grounds.

So (having actually done a few multi-billion dollar acquisitions in the med tech field, over a long holiday weekend or two) — I know it can be done. The involved parties probably already have agreed on a formula to value the operations, contingent on pulling engagement and user specs late night tonight (and perhaps Amazon’s stock closing price) — as I’m betting on a stock deal. That way, current holders of ByteDance will see appreciation in what they’ve been paid, if Amazon maximizes this synergy transaction in the US, in the form of rising Amazon stock prices.

That said, I think any talk of a Musk / X-itter / Rumble / Truth / YouTube or any other social media platform as a buyer will raise significant antitrust concerns (both size of person and size of transaction, under Hart-Scott). Here’s another rumor collecting piece:

…A former TikTok employee suggested to Forbes that Amazon could potentially purchase the app, as Amazon — the third-largest advertiser on the app—has deepened its relationship with the platform after announcing a partnership allowing users to browse and purchase Amazon products on TikTok….

So — yes, that is all rank speculation, on my part. But I’d not bet on US TikTok staying dark for very long, if in fact there isn’t a deal by late night on King Day 2025. Onward, grinning.

नमस्ते

Idiocy! Hayward Thinks “Who Invented” Tells Us… ANYTHING?!

This afternoon, we are treated to more (in an apparently endless line) of Steve’s inane burping, in the form of charts that only obscure reality.

He thinks that it is in some manner relevant that people have views of “who invented” slavery.

In his mind, that it has existed for over two thousand years… means there is no more racism.

What?!

He also posts a supposed chart of how many unarmed Black people have been shot by police.

Again, that chart says… nothing about how many aggressive even armed Whyte guys are NOT shot by police.

Hayward is… a malign moron.

JWST Is Imaging “A Shimmering, Waving Curtain” Of Warmed Gas & Dust, Hundreds Of Light Years Across — At Cassiopeia A.

Once upon a time, the core of a massive star collapsed, creating a shockwave that blasted outward, ripping the star apart as it went. When the shockwave reached the star’s surface, it punched through, generating a brief, intense pulse of X-rays and ultraviolet light that traveled outward into the surrounding space. About 350 years later, that pulse of light has reached interstellar material, illuminating it, warming it, and causing it to glow in infrared light.

Those ripples appear as wood-grain brown in the images at right. Here’s the whole jaw-slacking story, from NASA:

…[These images show a] shimmering cosmic curtain [of] interstellar gas and dust that has been heated by the flashbulb explosion of a long-ago supernova. The gas then glows infrared light in what is known as a thermal light echo. As the supernova illumination travels through space at the speed of light, the echo appears to expand. NASA’s [JWST] observed this light echo in the vicinity of the supernova remnant Cassiopeia A….

The researchers targeted a light echo that had previously been observed by NASA’s retired Spitzer Space Telescope. It is one of dozens of light echoes seen near the Cassiopeia A supernova remnant – the remains of the star that exploded. The light echo is coming from unrelated material that is behind Cassiopeia A, not material that was ejected when the star exploded.

The most obvious features in the [JWST] images are tightly packed sheets. These filaments show structures on remarkably small scales of about 400 astronomical units, or less than one-hundredth of a light-year. An astronomical unit, or AU, is the average Earth-Sun distance. Neptune’s orbit is 60 AU in diameter….

What an amazing place the interstellar medium — between our systems — must be. Daunting, austere and almost… hostile… but gorgeous! Smile….

नमस्ते

The Congressional Ban On Chinese Control Of TikTok Will Stand: So Sez The Supremes. Yikes.

Of course, if Congress now feels it “got it wrong“, in a bipartisan effort (under Mr. Biden — and one Tangerine 1.0 tried to achieve by executive fiat, BTW)… it may amend or repeal the law in the coming session. You see, it is the province of judges and Justices to simply read the law as written — not rewrite it. Here’s the full 27 page opinion, just published.

So the Sunday deadline is now real. TikTok will be closed to US users, unless the parent ByteDance can divest those assets by Sunday morning. [We’ve never used — and don’t now use TikTok, at all — since we long knew Chinese state affiliated actors likely have access to everything one writes or posts there.] And to be clear, Tangerine 1.0’s order (struck as beyond his Constitutional powers in 2020) was for the most venial of reasons: the kids embarrassed his rally in Tulsa.

But this time, it was an Act of Congress, firmly rooted in national security arguments — and bipartisan at that. Here’s the opinion, and a bit, below in blue. This all is not likely the last word, as Tangerine 2.0 now wants his 13 million TikTok followers to remain enthralled — and some consortium of non-China billionaires may buy the US assets, and keep it open — independently. Stay tuned — but I’d expect some hot-footed M&A / divestiture activity this weekend:

…[W]e are conscious that the cases before us involve new technologies with transformative capabilities. This challenging new context counsels caution on our part. As Justice Frankfurter advised 80 years ago in considering the application of established legal rules to the “totally new problems” raised by the airplane and radio, we should take care not to “embarrass the future.” Northwest Airlines, Inc. v. Minnesota, 322 U. S. 292, 300 (1944).

That caution is heightened in these cases, given the expedited time allowed for our consideration. Our analysis must be understood to be narrowly focused in light of these circumstances….

Because the Act itself designates applications operated by “ByteDance, Ltd.” and “TikTok,” prohibitions as to those applications take effect 270 days after the Act’s enactment—January 19, 2025. The Act exempts a foreign adversary controlled application from the prohibitions if the application undergoes a “qualified divestiture.” §2(c)(1). A “qualified divestiture” is one that the President determines will result in the application “no longer being controlled by a foreign adversary.” §2(g)(6)(A)….

[Please forgive me my very jumbled and chaotic graphics, here — there is much conflicted history to consider in the shaping of today’s chapter in the long, and frankly weird… narrative.] What a strange reversal of positions we’ve seen here: Tangerine 2.0 seeing a way to grease his palm as he takes 1600 Penn back. Count on that being his motivation for now championing the platform. Hell, he may even try to get Truth Social to be the leveraged bidder for the assets. Damn. As I say, stay tuned.

नमस्ते

It Is Believed One Of The Index Cases In Tanzania Died Of Marburg In December 2024 — At Least 300 Contacts To Trace…

One of the hardest parts of communicable disease management — in public health circles, is often cajoling life-saving, compliant behaviors… from members of… the public. In this regard, Tanzania’s health ministers are doing their country-wide populace… no favors, of late.

It is past time for those ministers to furnish any test results — and original blood samples — to WHO. Marburg, a viral cousin of Ebola, is lethal in nearly 70% of all cases — so the problem… is decidedly urgent. Here’s CIDRAP’s fine — and latest — reporting on it all:

…At a WHO briefing [on January 16, 2025], however, Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, urged Tanzania’s government send its samples for testing to international reference labs and to collect additional samples in accordance with normal procedures. He also said the WHO is supporting Tanzania’s response and has offered to provide any additional support that is needed….

[One of the] suspected index case-patients is a 27-year-old pregnant woman who had an illness that progressed to hemorrhagic symptoms and died on December 16, 2024. So far, investigators have identified 300 contacts, including 56 healthcare workers. Africa CDC said 16 of the contacts had direct contact with sick patients.

…[T]he outbreak would be Tanzania’s second Marburg event. In 2023, an outbreak in the same region resulted in nine illnesses, six of them fatal….

Some of the issue here must be that at least some of the rural transmission chain is likely fueled by traveling mine workers — who are known on occasion to visit sex workers… and so, the originally small outbreak crosses into new districts (with the resulting social stigmas helping to obscure its tracks). Very vexing — as a public perception / psychology problem, as well.

नमस्ते

Fascinating. Johnson Complains About Commutations.

This is quite… rich.

At the close of Tangerine 1.0, Scott made nary a peep — about Trump pardoning guys who aided his own personal crime spree.

Roger Stone

Paul Manafort

Steve Bannon

Michael Flynn

Crickets, all.

But let some nonviolent long incarcerated, drug offenders be released — (many originally convicted for offenses involving substances that are no longer even unlawful in their states) — and he loses his tiny mind.

Yet when — on Day 15 or so — Tangerine 2.0 pardons or commutes violent criminals who assaulted police officers at the J6 insurrection, it will be crickets, again from the Powerline boys.

I guess some criminals (who aid the preznit) are just… “more equal”.

Violently ssault a law-enforcement officer, in an insurrection? No problem.

But quietly smoke a little weed in your basement… watching old SNL reruns? And it’s a national emergency!

Cheers.