Well, the boys have surely seen this, from this morning, by now.
The fivethirtyeight.com crew (now owned by ABC) has long been a very well-regarded simulations shop, for thousands of casino style regression runs, of various likely election outcomes.
As of this morning, it has Kamala winning 2024 about 60 times out of 100, and Tangerine winning about 39 times out of 100.
I like those odds.
Turnout will still matter, especially in Georgia and North Carolina.
But Trump is a dying quail, if he cannot get Pennsylvania — and he did not, last time.
[To be fair, he got it by a few thousand votes in 2016 — but he was a much less well known animal then. 34 felony convictions will matter, plus over a half billion dollars in fraud-laced judgments against him, since. That too will… matter. Kamala will take Penn., and with it… 1600 Penn.]
But to be sure, her path to 271 features hundreds more options than Tangerine’s.
So it goes.
Powerline Lies... 